Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
389
FNUS52 KILM 041834
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid weather will continue for several days. A cold front
may bring a few showers and storms on Saturday. Next week will
remain quite hot with typical scattered thunderstorms mainly each
afternoon.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-051045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0 30
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 73 96 74 94
Max/Min RH (%) 89 54 93 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 5 S 7 G17 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 8 G18 S 5 S 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2100 78/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67600 73500
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 57 Gen Good 8 Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A A A A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 2 4
Min/Max Temp 74 99 75 97
Max/Min RH (%) 90 47 94 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 6 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 5 S 4 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.21
Precip Duration 0 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 102000
ADI Early 71 Good 49 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 62 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 74 Good 7 Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A A A A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 73 97 74 94
Max/Min RH (%) 93 51 95 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 4 S 6 G17 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G18 S 4 S 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2100 79/0700
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 85500
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 55 Gen Good 7 Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A A A A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 5
Min/Max Temp 72 100 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 93 43 92 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 4 S 6 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 S 4 S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.27
Precip Duration 0 1 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78000 96600
ADI Early 73 Good 51 Gen Good 80 Good 64 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 84 Good 7 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A A A A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$