Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
473
FNUS52 KILM 080702
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Storm coverage for today looks isolated to scattered as better
forcing remains north of the area, but the moist environment could
lead to locally heavy rainfall this afternoon and evening.
Greater shower and storm coverage seems more likely across the
area late in the week as another cold front pushes closer to the
area. Temps will remain slightly above normal through the work
week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-082315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 92 74 93
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.08 0.02 0.05
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4200
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 50400
ADI Early 39 Fair 42 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-082315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 93 75 94
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.13 0.02 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 9 AM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2100 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5200
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 52000
ADI Early 32 Fair 40 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-082315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 92 74 93
Min/Max RH (%) 53 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.09 0.07 0.09
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0900 2100 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4500
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41400 58500
ADI Early 32 Fair 33 Fair 38 Fair
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-082315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
302 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 4
Max/Min Temp 92 74 94
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.17 0.09 0.14
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 2000 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 46000
ADI Early 27 Fair 26 Fair 32 Fair
ADI Late 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW