412
FXUS64 KHGX 040854
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
354 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

High pressure continues to reign over SE Texas through the next
couple of days; however, an approaching cold front from the Dallas-
Fort Worth area may produce isolated showers for northern counties.
Elsewhere, expect typical summertime activity with the sea breeze.

Highs will be in the 90s to close to 100F, and with elevated dew
point values and warm nighttime temperatures (upper 70s to low 80s),
have opted to continue the Heat Advisory through the overnight hours
and into Friday.

While you enjoy holiday activities, please be mindful of the heat.
Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of
the day, Wear lightweight and loose-fitting clothing. Remember to
check on any vulnerable family, friends, and neighbors. Most
importantly, LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK. Pets and children should never be
left unattended in cars!

To echo the last forecaster...Heat is the #1 weather-related killer
in the U.S. each year. Do not underestimate the danger it poses.

Stay safe, and Happy Independence Day!

Adams

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Warm/hot temperatures and potential heat advisories will be the main
issue over the weekend. While highs do look to edge downward a couple
of degrees, peak heat index values are still expected to be at or above
108 for much of the area on Saturday and for parts of the area on Sunday.
More Heat Advisories might be needed, but it is possible that increasing
clouds/moisture and associated rising rain chances could be enough of
a relief to keep the area below heat advisory levels. Look for even
better rain chances and cooler high temperatures (could see highs eventually
in an upper 80s to around 90 range) for the first half of next week
as a combination of the remnants of Beryl, another tropical disturbance
coming out of the Gulf and a potential break in the mid/upper level
ridge sets up. There looks to be good chances of showers and thunderstorms
each day, generally near the coast in the late night through morning
hours and then inland in the afternoon and evening hours. Locally heavy
rainfall looks like it might be possible.

42

&&

.AVIATION...
(09Z TAF Amendment)
Issued at 351 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

VFR expected through the period. Winds mostly southerly component,
varying from SSW this morning to SSE this afternoon and light.
Light and variable winds expected overnight into Friday morning.
Included HZ from 02Z to 05Z with fireworks tonight. Otherwise
quiet.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

A mainly light to occasionally moderate onshore flow is expected through
the remainder of the week. Look for increasing winds, seas/swells and
rain chances over the weekend and into the start of next week (mainly
starting on Sunday) as Beryl makes its way toward the western Gulf of
Mexico and eventually inland south of the Brownsville area. Keep updated
with the latest forecasts on Beryl from the National Hurricane Center
as any significant changes in the track and/or intensity forecast could
lead to significant changes in our area forecast.

42

&&

.TROPICAL...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Beryl continues to work its way westward across the Caribbean Sea.
The official National Hurricane Center forecast has Beryl crossing
the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday and then working its way toward a
landfall just south of the Texas/Mexico border on Sunday night. Keep
updated with the latest National Hurricane Center advisories as any
significant changes in the track and/or intensity forecast could lead
to significant changes in our area forecast.

42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  99  77  99  77 /   0   0  10  20
Houston (IAH)  97  79  98  79 /  20   0  20  20
Galveston (GLS)  92  83  95  82 /  20   0  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT Friday for TXZ163-164-
     176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335-338.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...42