Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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821
FNUS53 KGRR 060731
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
331 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...Scattered showers today...

.DISCUSSION...
Expect scattered showers this afternoon and dry weather Sunday.
A cold front may bring more showers and thunderstorms early
next week.

MIZ037>039-043>045-062030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
331 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 10 AM.
                    Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1600-2100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....410-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-062030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
331 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of rain showers. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-570 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-062030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
331 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....20-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4900-5400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-062030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
331 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 11 AM. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-660 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-330 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-550 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-062030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
331 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    after 1 PM until 7 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM until 7 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-690 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-280 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-480 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 8 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds 5 to 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
around 80. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$