Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
605
FNUS53 KGRR 071946
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
346 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
...Chances for Showers and Storms Tonight through Mid Week...
.DISCUSSION...
We will be situated in a fairly active pattern the next several days
as a weak trough moving through the region brings chances for showers
and storms tonight through Monday night. A fairly typical summer like
pattern can be expected with a warm and humid airmass contributing to
the precipitation. Things become a bit more atypical mid week as the
remnants of the Gulf tropical system make a run at the Great Lakes.
The track of the left over tropical moisture is not certain, but
heavy rain is possible Tuesday into Wednesday.
MIZ037>039-043>045-080830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
346 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.32 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........71-76 percent near Lake Michigan and 58-63
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3400-3900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.14 in.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 5 AM. Chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........69-74 percent near Lake Michigan and 56-61
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4500-5000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....390-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-080830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
346 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.18 in.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-080830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
346 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....630-640 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-080830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
346 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers after 2 AM. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....640-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-080830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
346 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710-930 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast overnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. West winds 5 to
6 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
$$