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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
067 FNUS75 KGJT 170138 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for Bucktail...Montrose Dispatch National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 738 PM MDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 17. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...A shift in high pressure toward the Texas Panhandle will cause flow to shift to the southwest on Saturday. In response, a surge of subtropical moisture from the Mexican Plateau will move over the area from late morning through the afternoon. As a result, isolated, high based storms become possible over surrounding high terrain with little chance of wetting rain on the fire itself. More likely are outflow wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. Moisture increases further Sunday with improved chances for wetting rain and slightly cooler temperatures. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) through noon, then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent) with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent. Max temperature.....85-90. Min humidity........17-22 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 3 to 7 mph through 1000, then becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon with occasional gusts to 25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2. Mixing height.......Increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the at peak heating. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the night. CWR.................10 percent. Min temperature.....60-65. Max humidity........53-58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Becoming downslope 5 to 10 mph by 2100. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft) overnight. Haines Index........4 or low. LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1. Mixing height.......Decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northwest 17 mph shifting to the east 10 mph overnight. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. CWR.................40 percent. Max temperature.....81-86. Min humidity........25-30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 3 to 6 mph through 1000, then becoming southwest 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. Mixing height.......Increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 10 mph. $$ Forecaster...Norv Larson Requested by...Mike Sweet Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2419424.53/GJT .DELDT 08/16/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL joshua.oak@usda.gov,comtc@firenet.gov