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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
639 FNUS75 KGJT 112253 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for Bucktail...Montrose Dispatch National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 453 PM MDT Sun Aug 11 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 12. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Lingering showers are possible Monday morning before scattered showers and thunderstorms redevelop over the higher terrain Monday afternoon. Similar to previous days, storms will be capable of producing gusty outflow winds to 40 mph, small hail and frequent lightning. Periods of moderate to heavy rain can also be expected with stronger storms, leading to increased potential for flooding. Outside of showers and storms, look for passing clouds and relatively weak winds. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. CWR.................20 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. Min humidity........40-45 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near showers and thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Poor through the morning, then fair. Increasing to good in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low. LAL.................2 until 0900, then 3 until 1100, then 4 until 1500, then 5 until 1700, then 4. Mixing height.......1050 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 5 mph shifting to the southwest at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. CWR.................30 percent. Min temperature.....59-64. Max humidity........65-70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph, becoming downslope/downvalley overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near showers and thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low. LAL.................4. Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL decreasing to 800 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast overnight. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................60 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. Min humidity........38-43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 5 mph through mid morning, then becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near showers and thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Poor through mid to late morning, then fair. Becoming good and then very good in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low. LAL.................3 until 0900, then 4 until 1200, then 5. Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 12 to 18 mph in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse Requested by...Ryan Donner Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2419424.49/GJT .DELDT 08/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL joshua.oak@usda.gov,comtc@firenet.gov