290
FNUS75 KGJT 132131
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Bucktail...Montrose Dispatch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
331 PM MDT Tue Aug 13 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Drier conditions begin to work into western Colorado on Wednesday.
Still anticipate isolated to scattered showers and storms during
the afternoon, though coverage and rainfall intensities are expected
to decrease. Gusty outflow winds and lightning are the primary
concerns from nearby convection. Storms dwindle Wednesday evening,
as does chance for additional precipitation. Dry and warmer conditions
spread across the region for Thursday and Friday.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2 until 1300, then 3 until
                    1600, then 2 until 1700, then 1.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....57-62.
Max humidity........45-55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds 2 to 5 mph shifting to
the southwest after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 mph shifting to the east 10 mph
                    overnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........15-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
after noon. Gusts to around 25 mph in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Erin Walter
Requested by...Mike Sweet
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2419424.51/GJT
.DELDT 08/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.oak@usda.gov,comtc@firenet.gov