Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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530
FNUS22 KWNS 051959
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0259 PM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN IDAHO...

The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and minimal
changes were made with this update. A Critical area was considered
in southeast OR, where 15-20 mph sustained northwesterly surface
winds are expected amid single-digit RH. However, given near-normal
fuels and a lack of stronger sustained surface winds, confidence in
any more than locally critical conditions is too low for an upgrade
at this time.

Elsewhere, locally breezy/gusty surface winds will overlap continued
hot/dry conditions across portions of Southern CA and the Central CA
Coast. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are expected,
these conditions appear too localized and/or brief for an Elevated
area.

..Weinman.. 07/05/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0222 AM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024/

...Synopsis...
A broad trough is expected to remain situated over the central CONUS
through the day on Saturday, with a mid-level speed max embedded in
the northwesterly flow traversing the northwestern CONUS. The
surface response to this speed max ought to promote breezy
conditions (gusts to 30-35 mph) with strong vertical mixing and low
RH (generally 5-15%) across portions of the Great Basin and northern
Rockies. Fuels in the area are at least modestly receptive,
particularly in the Snake River plain in Idaho, where a Critical
area has been added.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$