384
FNUS53 KDTX 042003
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...A stray shower remains possible this afternoon and
evening, mainly toward the Ohio border and Tri Cities. Prospects for
showers and storms increase Friday as a low pressure system
organizes in the Midwest. The system lingers over the Great Lakes
Saturday keeping a chance of showers in the forecast. The holiday
weekend then closes out with dry weather Sunday under partly cloudy
sky.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4480-4980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming west around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3910-4410 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (408).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm, then
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4120-4620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (653).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2980-3480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (410).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
403 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Min temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4180-4680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    southwest early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (925).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4190-4690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (521).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs around 80.

$$

BT