923
FNUS53 KDTX 031953
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers exit eastward with a weak cold front
toward evening. The front ushers in a typical summer air mass for
the July 4th holiday with highs in the mid to upper 80s and moderate
humidity. Showers and thunderstorms spread back across Lower MI
Friday as the next low pressure system sets up in the Midwest.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6460-6960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (685).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers. Chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2710-3210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (554).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5350-5850 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (522).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......520-720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Numerous showers
                    until 2 pm. Showers and chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3420-3920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms and isolated showers until 11 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6270-6770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (591).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Numerous showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3570-4070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$

BT