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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
586 FNUS53 KDTX 181828 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 228 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .DISCUSSION...High pressure will bring below average temperatures and drier conditions to the area through Saturday with relatively weak winds and minimum RH values in the 40s. Soils remain well saturated given recent rainfalls, precluding heightened fire danger during a period of drier weather that is expected into the weekend. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 228 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....52-58. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Max humidity........83-93 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........42-52 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5830-6330 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (642). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....56-60. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........78-87 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1). Pcpn amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....78-84. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........43-53 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6130-6630 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (680). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-182115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 228 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....51-56. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south up to 5 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........43-53 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (434). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....56-60. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........80-89 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0). Pcpn amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....Around 81. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........49-59 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5320-5820 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (595). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 228 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min temperature.....52-58. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming south in the late evening and early morning, then becoming southwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-46 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5640-6140 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (385). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min temperature.....56-62. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........80-90 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest up to 5 mph until early morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0). Pcpn amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....80-84. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-46 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5940-6440 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (500). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. $$ KDK