Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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051
FNUS53 KDTX 081926
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...Some lingering showers into Tuesday morning along a
diffuse front. Remnants of Beryl then arrive by Tuesday afternoon
resulting in a prolonged period of widespread rain through Thursday
morning.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-082115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 8 am, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6380-6880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (845).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (396).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-082115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 8 am. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6140-6640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (783).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4120-4620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (424).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-082115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....84-90.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7210-7710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (870).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 5 am, then slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 11 am. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 pm until 5 pm. Chance of showers after
                    2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4250-4750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (465).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

$$

KDK