484
FXUS65 KBYZ 071957
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
157 PM MDT Sun Jul 7 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Tuesday...

The short term will see a drying trend with warming temperatures
as upper ridging from the west starts to slide east. This will
lead to quiet weather with temperatures reaching into the low 80s
in the east to upper 80s across much of the rest of the region
tomorrow. Heights will continue to climb Tuesday with high 80s to
low 90s across the region. Tonight and tomorrow night will see
low temperatures in the 50s with lows creeping closer to 60 or
above for Tuesday night. There are currently no fire concerns in
the short term before our warmup. Torgerson


Wednesday through Sunday...

Confidence is high that upper level ridging will prevail through
the extended forecast period, creating very warm to hot and dry
conditions. By Friday and into the weekend, the pattern is
expected to become more favorable (southerly monsoon type
pattern) for mid level moisture to move in, leading to a low
chance (<25%) of precipitation, mainly for the mountains.

High temperatures are still expected to gradually increase into
midweek, from low to mid 90s Wednesday to upper 90s to around 102
degrees Thursday. Currently, for locations along river valleys in
the plains, there is a 50-90% chance of exceeding 100 Thursday.
Then, highs are likely to remain elevated Friday and Saturday,
with a 40-60% chance of exceeding 100 each day over the same
locations. By Sunday, with a more notable return of moisture to
the region, highs should decrease slightly with readings in the
lower to mid 90s. BT

&&

.AVIATION...

Expect isolated showers, mainly east of KBIL and over our
southern mountains (Pryors/Big Horns) through early evening. A
few weak thunderstorms are possible, but confidence for a storm
to impact any particular TAF site is quite low (<10%). VFR will
prevail over the next 24 hours as we begin to see high pressure
build from the west tonight. BT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Mon     Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat     Sun
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 055/090 060/092 061/097 065/102 067/100 065/099 065/096
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/G    00/U    11/U    11/B
LVM 051/087 054/090 056/095 060/097 059/097 059/096 060/094
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    11/U    11/U    11/T
HDN 051/089 055/093 057/097 060/102 062/100 063/101 063/097
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/G    00/U    10/G    11/B
MLS 055/086 059/090 061/095 065/101 067/100 067/098 067/095
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/G    00/U    10/U    11/B
4BQ 054/086 058/090 060/094 065/100 067/101 067/101 068/097
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/G    10/G    10/B
BHK 053/085 057/090 058/092 062/097 064/099 063/097 064/092
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    11/B
SHR 049/085 054/090 055/094 059/100 062/099 062/099 062/095
    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    00/U    10/B    11/B

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
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