175
FNUS51 KBUF 040234
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will move across the area tonight and generate a
few showers and scattered thunderstorms with uneven coverage,
especially east of Lake Ontario. Most of the showers will taper off
and end late tonight and early Thursday. While most areas will then
be rainfree for the Fourth of July, it will remain very warm and
humid for the holiday. The next round of widespread showers and a
few thunderstorms will then arrive Friday night.

NYZ201-040800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1033 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     50            0            0            0
Precip type                     Tstms         None         None         None
Min/Max Temp                       67           86           63           88
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  9         W  7      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount                    0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                     4
Precip begin                     6 PM
Precip end                       6 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           46          100           42
Haines Index                        3            4            3            4
LAL                                 4            1            1            3
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        6800                      8470
Transport wind (kt)             SW 19         W 12         W  6         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        81600            0        50820
Dispersion Index                    0           82            0           51
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-040800-
Southern Tier-
1033 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     50           30            0           40
Precip type                     Tstms      Showers         None        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       67           85           62           87
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  8         W  6      Lgt/Var        SE  5
Precip amount                    0.15         0.04         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                     3            1                         1
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing                      2 PM
Precip end                 Continuing         8 AM                Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           45          100           44
Haines Index                        3            4            3            4
LAL                                 4            3            1            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        7030                      8300
Transport wind (kt)             SW 15         W  9        NW  5         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        63270            0        58100
Dispersion Index                    0           63            0           58
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$