317
FNUS51 KBUF 082034
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...
An axis of high pressure stretching across the region this evening
will slowly push east across New England overnight and Tuesday.
While this will guarantee fair dry weather for the vast majority of
the region, we will experience an increase in high and mid level
clouds along with a shift back to more humid conditions. The
remnants of Beryl will then move into the region late Tuesday night
into Wednesday night when a soaking rainfall can be expected. Most
areas can expect one to two inches of rain, although higher amounts
will be possible across the Southern Tier and Eastern Lake Ontario
region.

NYZ201-090800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
433 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           40           90
Precip type                      None         None        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       66           89           67           79
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W  6      Lgt/Var         E  7
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.09         0.82
Precip duration                                               2            9
Precip begin                                               6 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           39          100           65
Haines Index                        4            3            4            2
LAL                                 1            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        7720                      3220
Transport wind (kt)              S  4         W 13         W 12        SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       100360            0        38640
Dispersion Index                    0          100            0           39
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-090800-
Southern Tier-
433 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0           30           50           90
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       65           90           66           81
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W  6      Lgt/Var        SE  6
Precip amount                    0.00         0.01         0.09         0.69
Precip duration                                  1            2           10
Precip begin                                  4 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           36          100           69
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        8620                      4240
Transport wind (kt)              N  3         W 14        NW  9         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       120680            0        59360
Dispersion Index                    0          121            0           59
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY...Periods of rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$