Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
420
FNUS74 KBMX 072100
FWSBMX
Spot Forecast for 721...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
400 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on July 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions expected at the burn site through the remainder of
today and again for tomorrow. A few passing showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible in the vicinity of the wildfire, but confidence is low that you will
see much precipitation today. Similar story for tomorrow, but there may be showers/
storms that move over the area. Heat index tomorrow may reach 105-110 for a few hours
in the afternoon, so crew safety will be a concern.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
CWR.................40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph.
Dispersion index....18.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CDT) 5PM
Sky (%).........56
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
CWR.............40
LAL.............3
Temp............92
RH..............58
20 FT wind dir..W
20 FT wind dir..290
20 FT wind spd..2
20 FT wind gust.4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4
Transp wind dir.W
Transp wind spd.3
Dispersion idx..18
LVORI...........2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the evening. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 3 am.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 30 percent early in
the evening, then decreasing to 20 percent late
in the evening decreasing to 10 percent
overnight increasing to 20 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the south 5
to 6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....8 decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
overnight.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59 65 66 62 62 58 54 49 50 47 46 46
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 20 20
LAL.............3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............91 89 85 83 81 80 79 78 78 77 76 75
RH..............60 65 74 82 85 91 91 91 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW N S E SE S S S S S S S
20 FT wind dir..320 350 190 090 150 170 170 180 190 200 200 180
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW NW W S SE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..12 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3 until 1600, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42 40 40 38 29 28 34 36 43 47 50 54
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 4 4
Temp............75 76 78 82 87 89 91 93 93 94 93 91
RH..............100 100 91 85 70 68 60 56 56 54 58 62
20 FT wind dir..S SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW S S
20 FT wind dir..180 210 230 240 230 210 200 200 210 220 190 180
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.4 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.8 4.9 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.2 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W SW SW S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
Dispersion idx..3 3 3 2 2 22 28 34 32 31 30 28
LVORI...........9 6 6 6 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...SAIRY NEAL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417531.4/BMX
.DELDT 07/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0