Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
606 FNUS75 KTWC 141554 FWSTWC Spot Forecast for Buckhorn Fire...AZ-SCA National Weather Service Tucson AZ 854 AM MST Sun Jul 14 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MST on July 14. .DISCUSSION...Moisture will be on the increase through Monday, which will result in a good chance of showers and thunderstorms, as well as increasing RH values. General winds will be light. However, there will be the threat of thunderstorm outflow winds which can exceed 50 mph and result in extreme fire behavior and/or a change in the direction of fire spread. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......20 percent late in the morning, increasing to 40 percent in the afternoon. LAL.................4. Max temperature.....88-91 degrees. Min humidity........17-20 percent. 20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 3 to 8 mph, becoming southwest 4 to 9 mph by late morning and increasing to 7 to 12 mph during the afternoon. Wind becoming west to northwest late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....North around 7 knots in the late morning, becoming west to northwest around 12 knots in the afternoon. TIME (MST) 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM Sky (%)......... 73 73 70 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type.... RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CWR............. 20 40 40 LAL............. 3 4 4 Temp............ 86 89 83 RH.............. 19 17 25 20 FT wind...... SW 6G7 W 7G12 NW 9G17 Mix hgt (ft).... 11500 13800 10100 Transport wind.. N 7 NW 10 W 12 Haines index.... 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................4. Min temperature.....60-63 degrees. Max humidity........65-68 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph early in the evening diminishing to 3 to 8 mph by late evening and becoming downslope/downvalley 2 to 7 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Decreasing to 100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest to north 6 to 11 knots. TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........70 70 41 32 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CWR.............40 30 10 0 LAL.............4 3 2 1 Temp............78 69 66 62 RH..............34 51 59 66 20 FT wind......NW 8G15 NW 5G9 N 2G7 N 2G6 Mix hgt (ft)....6800 100 100 100 Transport wind..NW 11 NW 8 N 8 N 7 Haines index....4 3 3 3 .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................4. Max temperature.....86-89 degrees. Min humidity........20-23 percent. 20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 9 mph becoming west to northwest 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 knots, becoming west to northwest 10 to 12 knots in the afternoon. TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........11 8 90 90 Weather cov..... LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ LIKELY LIKELY CWR.............0 0 30 60 LAL.............1 1 3 4 Temp............61 79 87 85 RH..............64 34 23 25 20 FT wind......N 2G8 NW 3G10 W 5G10 W 7G14 Mix hgt (ft)....1000 6100 10200 4800 Transport wind..N 6 N 7 NW 9 W 11 Haines index....3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...ZELL Requested by...Daniel Pearson Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2417993.2/TWC .DELDT 07/14/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL daniel_pearson@nps.gov Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson