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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
883 FNUS55 KTWC 012007 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 107 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Daily chances for scattered thunderstorms and showers for the first half of the week and then diminishing towards the end of the week. Moisture will slowly erode away as well and bringing min relative humidities down towards the 10-18% range for the lower elevations and 18-25% range in the higher elevations by the weekend. Dryer air will be moving into the region along with hotter temperature by the end of the week and into the new week. Outside of thunderstorm winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the occasional gust of 20-25 mph. AZZ150-021415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 107 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10471 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the southwest 7 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (73297 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9166 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 to 12 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109992 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 103 to 113. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 102 to 112. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-021415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 107 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 16 to 20 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............11049 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 6 knots shifting to the west 8 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (88392 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............10049 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 knots shifting to the northwest 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110539 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-021415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 107 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............7735 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the west 9 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (69615 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............2977 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the northwest 14 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (41678 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 92 to 102. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-021415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 107 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10981 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 10 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109810 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............7542 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 to 15 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113130 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 20 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 15 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-021415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 107 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............11331 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the west 8 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (90648 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............10059 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 9 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100590 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 81 to 91. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson