Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
585
FNUS55 KTWC 032036
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
136 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson east and
south. High pressure aloft will build to our northwest late this
week into early next week, which will result in hot conditions. With
the hotter temperatures and some of the deeper moisture getting
pushed to the south and east of the region, min RH values will lower
into the 10-18% range across the lower elevations and 15-30% in the
higher elevations Friday into early next week. High temperature will
warm considerably late this week through the weekend, with highs 106-
113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila River Valley, and
in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz and Cochise
counties. Excessive Heat will likely be an issue during this time
frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional gusts to
20-25 mph through the weekend. Early next week there will be the
potential for more elevated wind speeds in the 15-20 mph range,
especially east of Tucson.
AZZ150-041415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
136 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10187 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 12 knots shifting to the
northwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132431 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16001 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 knots shifting to the
northwest 9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (144009 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 105 to 115.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-041415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
136 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............9494 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132916 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14637 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 11 knots shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (161007 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-041415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
136 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12525 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (175350 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13701 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 10 knots shifting to the northeast
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (137010 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 16 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-041415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
136 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 30 to 34 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 15 mph increasing to
around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15266 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (213724 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15182 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167002 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows 60 to 70.
Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
8 to 17 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 13 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-041415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
136 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............14722 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191386 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15942 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (175362 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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