Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
940
FNUS55 KTWC 022118
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
218 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
There will be the daily chance for isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson east and south through the
end of the week, with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
along the International Border this weekend into early next week.
High pressure aloft will build to our northwest late this week
into early next week, which will result in drier and hot
conditions. The deeper moisture will get pushed south and east of
the region late this week into early next week, with Min RH values
lowering into the 10-18% range across the lower elevations and
15-30% in the higher elevations. High temperature will warm
considerably late this week through the weekend, with highs
106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila River Valley,
and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz and Cochise
counties. Excessive Heat will likely be an issue during this time
frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds
will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the
occasional gust of 20-25 mph.
AZZ150-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
218 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9744 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 13 knots shifting to the northwest
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97440 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10351 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 knots shifting to the
northwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (134563 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 102 to 112. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 103 to 113.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
218 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms
and slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10351 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the north 10
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103510 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9815 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (137410 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
12 to 22 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
218 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8334 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the
northwest 12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100008 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph becoming northeast
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10820 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (151480 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
218 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13184 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (158208 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly
clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 15 mph increasing to
around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14732 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (206248 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. North wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 14 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 87 to 97.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
218 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11705 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the
northwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (128755 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph becoming northeast
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13818 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (179634 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson