Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
633
FNUS55 KTWC 041133
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
433 AM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson east and
south into early next week. High pressure aloft will build to our
northwest through the weekend into early next week, which will
result in hot conditions. With the hotter temperatures and some of
the deeper moisture getting pushed to the south and east of the
region, min RH values will lower into the 10-18% range across the
lower elevations and 15-30% in the higher elevations through early
next week. Hot high temperature are expected into early next week,
with highs 106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila
River Valley, and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz
and Cochise counties. Excessive Heat will be an issue during this
time frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds
will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional
gusts to 20-25 mph through the weekend. Early next week there will
be the potential for more elevated wind speeds in the 15-20 mph
range, especially east of Tucson.
AZZ150-042215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
433 AM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11001 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 knots shifting to the northwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (154014 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16175 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 6 knots shifting to the north
7 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113225 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 102 to 112.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 105 to 115.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-042215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
433 AM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10549 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (147686 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15254 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the
northeast 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167794 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 22 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-042215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
433 AM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12604 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (163852 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 22 to 26 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming east around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14019 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 10 knots shifting to the east 13
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (182247 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 21 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 97 to 107. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 16 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-042215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
433 AM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15064 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 12 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (225960 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 33 to 37 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph becoming northeast
around 10 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15502 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 8 knots shifting to the south
7 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108514 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 21 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 88 to 98. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 61 to 71.
Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
7 to 13 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-042215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
433 AM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............14207 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (213105 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly
clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph becoming east
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16057 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (216769 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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