Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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FNUS75 KTFX 161039
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Black Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
439 AM MDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms return for this afternoon.
Erratic gusts could reach 45 mph at times. The chance for wetting rain
is fairly low, but afternoon humidity should mostly remain above 35
percent, as temperatures stay below normal. Overnight humidity recovery
should be good as skies partially clear. Warmer and drier conditions
are likely on Saturday. Warm temperatures persist into next week, but
with chances for showers and storms each day. -Coulston

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the morning, then
                    numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon. Haze in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0900, 2 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Variable winds around 5 mph becoming west 5 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 15 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze in the
                    evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....50-55.
Max humidity........65-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds around 5 mph becoming downslope /
                    down drainage 3 to 6 mph overnight.
 Ridgetop...........West around 5 mph.
Haines Index........

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....74-79.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Variable winds around 5 mph becoming upslope /
                    up drainage 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Coulston
Requested by...Jordan Bloxham
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2419200.76/TFX
.DELDT 08/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jbloxham@blm.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov