622
FNUS75 KTFX 152312
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Black Canyon...DNRC County Assist Team
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
512 PM MDT Thu Aug 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

An upper level disturbance will allow for showers and a few
thunderstorms to track across the region from south to north this
evening and overnight into early tomorrow. Another round of
showers and thunderstorms will be around Friday afternoon, with a
better chance for a wetting rain Friday night.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....71-76.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South to southwest winds around 10 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....51-56.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Variable around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...McDowell
Requested by...Tom Kohley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420044.6/TFX
.DELDT 08/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtgdc@firenet.gov.,tom_kohley@firenet.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov