611
FXUS64 KSJT 141738
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1238 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

The upper level ridge is currently centered over southern
Colorado and northern New Mexico early this morning. This ridge
will remain in place, and possibly even slightly expand somewhat
to the southeast. This will keep rain chances out of the forecast
for our area today, and warm temperatures a 2-3 degrees across the
area. We could see a few morning low clouds mainly south of
Interstate 20, but these should scatter out by mid to late
morning. Otherwise, expect a few upper level clouds, highs in the
mid 90s to around 100 degrees, and southerly winds 5 to 15 mph.
Tonight, south/southeast winds will diminish to 5 to 10 mph, with
lows mainly in the low to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Temperatures will continue to increase for the first half of the
work week as the 850 mb thermal ridge pushes further east into our
area. Highs on Monday and Tuesday could approach 104 in some
areas, with the warmest temperatures in the Concho Valley and Big
Country. Precipitation chances will remain low during this time
period, as the upper level ridge continues to sit to our west.

Moisture will be on the rise for the second half of the work week,
with PWAT values in the 1.5 to 2 inch range on Thursday. With this
increase in moisture, we`ll see increased cloud cover and the
potential for heavy rainfall with any storms that develop. A cold
front is forecast to push through the area on Thursday. Rain
chances will increase along and behind the front. Moisture will
remain high post frontal passage, leaving the potential for
showers and thunderstorms for Friday through the weekend. We`ll
also see slightly cooler temperatures starting Thursday, with
highs mainly in the low to mid 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours. South winds will gust
near 20 knots this afternoon but will diminish by early evening.
Expect light winds overnight, with south winds becoming breezy
again after 15Z tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     75 101  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73 102  74 103 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    72  97  71  98 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   72  99  73 100 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  75 102  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  96  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       72  97  71  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...24