012
FXUS64 KSHV 151731 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1231 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1058 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

No major wholesale updates are required to the forecast package at
this hour. Temperatures rise steadily into the lower 90s, on track
to reach the upper 90s this afternoon, with many sites reaching
the century mark or just exceeding 100 degrees. As has been the
case for much of this week, oppressively sticky mid-morning dew
points are slow to mix out, likely only dropping into the early
afternoon, allowing temperatures to rapidly warm for a few hours.
still looking at a slight chance of showers and storms this
afternoon in LaSalle parish and neighboring areas of Louisiana,
but likely to a lesser extent than yesterday, becoming neither long
lived nor widespread in coverage. Ingested the latest several
hours of temperature and dewpoint obs and interpolated through to
00Z.

/26/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the 15/18Z TAF period. A
scattered cu field has develop across the region early this
afternoon, and will persist through the day before diminishing
by/shortly after sunset. Very isolated convection may develop by
mid and late afternoon over ECntrl LA, but will not affect the MLU
terminal. Aside from some thin cirrus overnight, SKC will prevail,
with another cu field gradually developing across the region
between 15-17Z Friday. SSW winds 5-9kts this afternoon will become
S and diminish to 5kts or less after 00Z. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 100  80 101  80 /   0   0  10   0
MLU 100  78 100  79 /  10  10  20  10
DEQ 101  75  99  74 /   0   0  10  10
TXK 101  79 101  78 /   0   0  10   0
ELD 101  76  99  76 /  10   0  10   0
TYR 100  79  99  79 /   0   0   0   0
GGG 100  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  98  76  97  76 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>004-010>012-
     017-018.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ005-
     006-013-014-019>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
AVIATION...15