Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 021825
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Horsecreek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

West to west-northwest winds expected to persist through Wednesday
evening with minimal wind shifts. Wind gusts up to 30 mph
forecast through Tuesday afternoon peaking between 1200L and
1800L, decreasing overnight. Wednesday, stronger winds are
expected with gusts up to 35 mph between 1200L and 2000L. However,
there is a 25 to 35 percent chance of wind gusts greater than 35
mph during this same timeframe. A frontal passage late Wednesday
night will bring a shift to northwest winds with decreasing winds
afterwards.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....54 to 56 degrees.
Min humidity........36 to 38 percent.
Max apparent temp...51.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 20 to 21 mph with gusts 25 to 30 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 16 to 17 mph with gusts 20 to 25 mph.

TIME (MDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  48  50  50  51
RH..............63  54  52  50  46
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..16  16  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.22  22  22  23  23
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.20  20  20  21  21
Surface wnd gst.28  28  28  29  29

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........52 percent.
Min apparent temp...34.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts 20 to 25 mph
early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
early in the evening.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  51  52  47  44  43  43  43  43  42  41  40
RH..............42  39  46  49  51  51  49  49  48  50  50  52
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..16  15  13  11  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.22  20  18  16  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.20  19  16  14  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Surface wnd gst.28  25  23  20  16  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........28 to 30 percent.
Min apparent temp...33.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 18 mph with gusts 25 to 30
                    mph until 1300, then 20 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    35 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 20 mph until 0800, then 10 to
                    19 mph with gusts to around 26 mph until 1400,
                    then around 20 mph with gusts to around 29 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  5   5   0   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  42  45  46  49  50  52  52  53  53  53  52
RH..............50  48  43  42  39  36  34  35  35  34  30  28
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  11  13  16  17  19  20  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  16  18  21  25  26  28  29  29  28
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.10  11  13  14  16  20  21  24  25  25  25  25
Surface wnd gst.15  16  17  20  23  26  31  33  35  36  36  35

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds around 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds around 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Gross
Requested by...Paul Hood
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417210.0/RIW
.DELDT 07/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL paul_hood@nps.gov