Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
319 FNUS55 KPSR 150941 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 241 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024 .DISCUSSION... Monsoonal moisture in place will continue to result in daily thunderstorm activity. Activity both today and tomorrow will be confined mainly to the AZ high terrain as well as across the southern CA mountains. The biggest hazard with these storms will continue to be outflow winds, which will generate sudden directional shifts and strong gusts. Aside from the thunderstorm winds, general winds will follow the typical diurnal pattern with afternoon gusts between 20-25 mph. MinRH values today will range between 20-30% area wide, decreasing slightly on Tuesday with good overnight recoveries. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-152145- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 241 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 107-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 84-94. Highs 107-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 84-94. Highs 106-112. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-111. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-152145- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 241 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024 /241 AM PDT Mon Jul 15 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-90. Highs 109-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 85-90. Highs 110-115. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 85-90. Highs 109-114. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 85-90. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-152145- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 241 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Min Temperature.................66-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................48-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-85. Highs 93-107. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-85. Highs 91-108. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-85. Highs 91-107. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-85. Highs 91-106. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66-84. Highs 88-104. $$ CAZ232-152145- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 241 AM PDT Mon Jul 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................100-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................37-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 103-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-91. Highs 104-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-92. Highs 105-115. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 85-92. Highs 106-115. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 85-91. Highs 104-114. $$ CAZ230-152145- Joshua Tree National Park- 241 AM PDT Mon Jul 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73-86. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-87. Highs 94-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-89. Highs 96-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77-89. Highs 96-111. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-89. Highs 96-110. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday July 23rd through Wednesday July 25th: Above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.