Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
060 FXUS63 KOAX 081705 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1205 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Elevated river levels linger on the Missouri River at Rulo and and points downstream, and should lower below Minor flood stage early Monday. - After a nice work week temperature-wise, dangerous heat becomes increasingly possible this Saturday and Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 248 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 The passage of a cold front brought a round of strong to severe storms yesterday afternoon and evening, in addition to some heavy rainfall. By early Sunday night, lingering showers and storms had moved east of the forecast area, into central Iowa. High pressure will gradually build over the western CONUS this week, as a jet streak draws warmer air into the Central Plains. Temperatures will rise into the low 80s today, and gradually push into the 90s by the end of the week. Sunday looks to be the hottest day of the forecast period, with heat indices reaching 100-105. We`ll need to continue to keep a close eye on the weekend for potential heat products, as we move further into the week. Moisture lingering in the region could help spur a few pulsey, afternoon showers and thunderstorms throughout the week. The best chance for precipitation will arrive Wednesday, as a shortwave drops through the region. Otherwise, the lack of any significant forcing mechanism will likely keep any showers or storms very isolated and relatively weak. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1204 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 VFR conditions with SCT to perhaps BKN clouds around 5000 feet AGL and a light northwest wind less than 10 kts will dominate through 01 UTC. After that time, skies clear, with winds becoming light and variable but predominantly out of the north. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KG AVIATION...Barjenbruch