Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
759 FNUS53 KMQT 070903 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 ...More Showers and Thunderstorms Over the West This Afternoon... .DISCUSSION: A weak low pressure moving into our area is expected fire up some showers and thunderstorms over the western U.P. today, particularly during the afternoon as ridging over the east generally keeps that half dry during the daylight hours. While no area-wide soaking is expected over the west, we could see some localized heavy downpours in some of the showers and thunderstorms; we could also see some frequent lightning in some of the stronger storms. Winds will be mainly southerly today, making the warmest areas the downslopes near Lake Superior. While highs today are expected to be in the mid 70s to around 80 across the area, min RHs are only expected to drop down to the 50 percents across the U.P. this afternoon. Expect a full RH recovery tonight as showers and thunderstorms dwindle down but continue into the central and eventually eastern U.P., where they look to fire up late tonight/early Monday morning. More rain showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across most of the area Monday as a secondary low lifts into the Upper Midwest. Heavy downpours and frequent lightning are also a threat with some of the stronger storms on Monday too. MIZ001-003-080915- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by early afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....75-80 inland to around 73 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........55-60 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 3 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 4 to 9 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.15 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2 until 1500, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Patchy fog late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....55-60. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........93-98 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less shifting to the southwest late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.14 inch. LAL.................3 until 0200, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....71-76. Min humidity........62-67 percent inland to 71 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......West 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.31 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2. $$ MIZ002-009-084-080915- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 /403 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms through mid afternoon. Numerous thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........51-56 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.49 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................2 until 1200, then 3 until 1700, then 4 until 1900, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Patchy fog late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....57-62. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........97-100 percent inland to 90 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less. PCPN amount.........None to 0.21 inch. LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2 until 0200, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........59-64 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 2 to 7 mph shifting to the west 3 to 8 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.25 inch. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ004-005-080915- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers by early afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........49-54 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1500, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog late. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........97-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 2 to 7 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. LAL.................3 until 0500, then 2. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........63-68 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.57 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ010-011-080915- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 403 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by early afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2 until 1400, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Patchy fog late. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 2 to 7 mph becoming 5 mph or less after midnight. PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch. LAL.................3 until 0200, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........61-66 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.56 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ012-080915- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 403 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........53-58 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog late. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. LAL.................2 until 2200, then 3. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. Min humidity........60-65 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.56 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................2 until 1100, then 3. $$ MIZ006-007-085-080915- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 81. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1900, then 1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch. LAL.................2 until 0200, then 3. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........68-73 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.51 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ013-080915- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....77-82. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........54-59 percent inland to 63 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2 until 1900, then 1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 3 to 8 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. LAL.................2 until 2400, then 3. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....77-82. Min humidity........65-70 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.47 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................3. $$ MIZ014-095-080915- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 78 inland to around 72 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........55-60 percent inland to 68 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers after midnight. A chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 2 to 7 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch. LAL.................1 until 0200, then 3. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....74-79 inland to around 71 at the shore. Min humidity........74-79 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................3 until 1300, then 2 until 1700, then 3. $$ MIZ096-097-080915- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........55-60 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers late. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 mph or less. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. LAL.................1 until 0500, then 2. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........76-81 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.12 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ088-080915- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers late. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. LAL.................1 until 0500, then 2. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........72-77 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ086-087-080915- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 503 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less shifting to the southeast late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. LAL.................1 until 0200, then 2. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........72-77 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.18 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows around 55 to 60. Highs 76 to 81 inland to around 70 at the Lake Superior shore. Variable winds 5 mph or less with gusts up to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 76 to 81 inland to around 69 at the Lake Superior shore. North to northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 57. Highs around 81 inland to around 73 at the shore. Variable winds 5 mph or less with gusts up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs around 84 inland to around 77 at the shore. .SATURDAY...Clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs around 86 inland to around 80 at the shore. .Outlook for Sun Jul 14 through Sat Jul 20...expect above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW / 6000 / S 14 / 840 (E) 200301 / KENTON/ 4 LOW / 5900 / S 14 / 826 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW / 7000 / S 16 / 1120 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 4 LOW / 2300 / S 11 / 253 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5800 / SW 12 / 696 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5000 / SW 13 / 650 (E) 200703 / GWINN/ 4 LOW / 7000 / S 14 / 980 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 6600 / S 13 / 858 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 4 LOW / 6600 / S 13 / 858 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 3 VERY LOW / 5700 / SW 12 / 684 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW / 6800 / S 16 / 1088 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 2200 / SW 14 / 308 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 5400 / SW 10 / 540 (G) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 5500 / SW 12 / 660 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5700 / SW 12 / 684 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 4400 / SW 14 / 616 (E) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 6200 / S 17 / 1054 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 5600 / S 17 / 952 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 4700 / W 8 / 376 (G) / KEWEENAW/ 4 LOW / 2700 / S 10 / 270 (F) 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4000 / SW 13 / 520 (G) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Mon... Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 2 VERY LOW / 4300 / NW 2 / 86 (P) 200301 / KENTON/ 4 LOW / 5000 / W 4 / 200 (F) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW / 5200 / W 4 / 208 (F) 201004 / MUNISING/ 2 VERY LOW / 3600 / S 8 / 288 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 2 VERY LOW / 4100 / S 14 / 574 (G) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 2 VERY LOW / 4000 / S 20 / 800 (E) 200703 / GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW / 5000 / E 4 / 200 (F) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 2 VERY LOW / 4500 / NE 2 / 90 (P) 200503 / PELKIE/ 4 LOW / 5100 / W 4 / 204 (F) 201504 / RACO/ 2 VERY LOW / 2700 / S 32 / 864 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5300 / N 2 / 106 (P) 201401 / REXTON/ 2 VERY LOW / 2000 / SW 28 / 560 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 2600 / S 26 / 676 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 2 VERY LOW / 3300 / S 23 / 759 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 2 VERY LOW / 3200 / SW 24 / 768 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 2 VERY LOW / 3900 / S 14 / 546 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 4400 / W 8 / 352 (G) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 5000 / W 4 / 200 (F) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 1100 / S 16 / 176 (F) / KEWEENAW/ 3 VERY LOW / 900 / W 6 / 54 (P) 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 2 VERY LOW / 2300 / S 28 / 644 (E) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 79/ 54/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 77/ 52/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 79/ 51/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 201004 / MUNISING/ 76/ 57/ 6/ 9/ S/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 79/ 55/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 78/ 56/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 79/ 51/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 79/ 54/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 79/ 53/ 5/ 8/ S/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 79/ 56/ 6/ 8/ SW/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 78/ 54/ 6/ 11/ S/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 74/ 66/ 6/ 9/ S/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 78/ 57/ 6/ 8/ SW/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 79/ 57/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 79/ 54/ 6/ 9/ S/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 78/ 60/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 74/ 61/ 7/ 12/ S/0.00 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 74/ 56/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 78/ 54/ 3/ 5/ SW/0.00 / KEWEENAW/ 77/ 58/ 4/ 8/ SE/0.00 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 76/ 60/ 6/ 8/ SW/0.00 $$ TAP