Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
126 FNUS72 KMLB 030916 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Three Lakes- Big Nose...FWC National Weather Service Melbourne FL 516 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 03. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... There is a 50% chance for scattered lightning storms over the burn area today, with the highest rain potential between 3 PM and 8 PM. Southeast winds will be less than 5 mph through 12 PM, then 5-12 mph through the afternoon. Erratic wind gusts are possible beneath any storm. Minimum RH readings fall to 50-55%, and dispersion will be fair to good. Plan for hot temperatures in the mid 90s. The forecast will be quite similar for Thursday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes until 1500, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 95. Min humidity........51 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph. Dispersion index....7 increasing to 37. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........9 8 6 6 8 14 30 30 48 40 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 20 30 40 50 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 Temp............77 80 85 88 90 91 92 93 94 90 RH..............94 86 74 65 60 55 55 53 51 59 20 FT wind dir..SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 20 FT wind gust.3 3 6 8 9 10 13 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.4 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.6 5.1 4.5 4.1 3.6 Transp wind dir.SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE E E Transp wind spd.5 6 6 5 5 6 7 8 7 8 Dispersion idx..3 11 16 19 23 33 40 40 35 36 LVORI...........6 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly clear (10-20 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until 2200, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 73. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 3 early in the evening. LVORI...............1 increasing to 10. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........45 30 32 30 10 1 13 29 27 30 18 21 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............89 88 84 82 80 78 77 77 77 76 75 75 RH..............62 65 73 78 80 81 83 89 90 95 98 98 20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 20 FT wind gust.12 12 10 9 8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd.8 9 10 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 Dispersion idx..34 27 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 8 10 10 .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 95. Min humidity........52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....5 increasing to 30. LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........16 18 18 26 20 13 19 24 30 33 35 38 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 50 50 50 50 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 Temp............73 75 77 81 85 88 90 92 93 92 92 91 RH..............99 100 96 85 74 67 61 56 52 53 57 58 20 FT wind dir..NE E E SE SE SE E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.4 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.6 Transp wind dir.E E SE SE E E E NE NE NE E E Transp wind spd.5 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 Dispersion idx..2 2 3 7 14 19 22 29 33 30 29 27 LVORI...........10 10 8 5 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 $$ Forecaster...Heil Requested by...Steve Glass Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2417239.0/MLB .DELDT 07/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com