391
FNUS76 KMFR 122141
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Warner Peak...USFWS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
241 PM PDT Mon Aug 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Slightly cooler than normal temperatures and slightly
higher than normal humidities with typical afternoon and early evening
breezes expected through the rest of the week. Winds will likely shift
frequently due to eddies originating from the escarpment and high
terrain along the western edge of the fire. An isolated afternoon
and early evening thunderstorm is possible late Monday evening, with
the primary concern being strong outflow winds, especially from any
storms that develop to the south and west of the fire. Additional
convective chances arrive Wednesday and especially Thursday afternoons.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Haze and patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 75, to around 65 along the western ridgeline.
Min humidity........17-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....West to southwest 6-8 mph with gusts up to 15 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.


.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Smoke and haze.
Min temperature.....Around 45-50.
Max humidity........50-55 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 3-6 mph, becoming south to southwest 2-3 mph
overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........West 5-9 mph, becoming south to southwest 3-5 mph
overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny, then becoming partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 77, to around 68 along the western ridgeline.
Min humidity........18-21 percent.
Eye level winds.....South to southwest 2-5 mph in the morning, becoming
southwest 5-7 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest 4-7 mph in the morning, becoming
southwest 8-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.



$$
Forecaster...NIEUWENHUIS
Requested by...Jeremy Surprenant
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2419681.4/MFR
.DELDT 08/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov