Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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Spot Forecast for Prescribe Burn 1...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
834 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Southeasterly wind flow prevails across the site today with a
chance for a few showers or an isolated thunderstorm to impact the
area during the late morning through the afternoon hours.
Dispersions will peak in the fair range this afternoon. Easterly
flow is expected to develop for Wednesday through the remainder of
the work week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1200, then 9-15 strikes until 1600, then 16-25
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 29 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 31 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  25  31  39  48  56  61  65  69
Weather cov.....    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  30  30  40  50  60  70  70
LAL.............1   1   2   3   3   3   3   4   4
Temp............81  84  86  88  88  89  89  88  89
RH..............91  80  75  72  70  66  68  68  66
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.5 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.6 3.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   9   9   9   8   7   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..15  29  43  42  40  28  34  33  30
LVORI...........5   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2200, then 1-8 strikes until
                    2400, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....20 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  57  50  47  43  39  33  27  21  22  23  24
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  50  40  30  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............87  85  83  79  79  78  77  77  77  76  76  76
RH..............70  75  82  94  94  94  97  97  94  97  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   6   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..20  10  2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   3   5   7   6   6   8   8   7   7   8   8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  33  37  43  48  53  51  48  46  41  35  30
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  75  77  81  85  87  88  88  89  89  89  89
RH..............97  100 100 94  85  80  76  74  70  70  68  69
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   5   7   7   8   8   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   10
Dispersion idx..3   3   6   12  22  30  32  35  39  42  45  47
LVORI...........8   9   9   5   4   3   3   3   3   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Rizzuto
Requested by...Glen Mayfield Jr.
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417187.0/MFL
.DELDT 07/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0