687
ACUS11 KWNS 032353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032353
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-040130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0653 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024

Areas affected...southwest/south-central NE...northwest
KS...east-central CO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501...502...504...

Valid 032353Z - 040130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501, 502,
504 continues.

SUMMARY...Multiple swaths of severe hail and wind are expected to
evolve east-southeastward across parts of southern Nebraska and
northwest Kansas through sunset. This will include risks for
significant severe hail to around 2.5 inches in diameter and wind
gusts to around 80 mph, as well as a brief tornado or two.

DISCUSSION...Multiple linear segments/clusters and embedded/discrete
supercells are ongoing across parts of east-central CO into central
NE. Moderate buoyancy persists ahead of this activity, with the peak
axis along the CO/KS border into far southwest NE. Severe wind
potential will probably be comparatively greater across northwest KS
as the east-central CO spreads across this buoyancy plume, a
scenario continuing to be advertised by recent WoFS guidance. This
may yield gusts from 65-80 mph. Farther northeast, measured wind
gusts have been generally strong owing to the slow-moving and
backbuilding nature of the QLCS, especially with southwestward
extent. Still, gusts from 50-65 mph will remain possible from
southwest into central NE.

..Grams.. 07/03/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

LAT...LON   40990058 41509952 41419840 40529865 39559969 38970093
            38730308 39280310 39710231 40560180 40990058