Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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069 ACUS11 KWNS 030003 SWOMCD SPC MCD 030002 MOZ000-KSZ000-030130- Mesoscale Discussion 1517 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0702 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024 Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Northern Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498... Valid 030002Z - 030130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498 continues. SUMMARY...Convective threat will increase across northeast Kansas and northern Missouri this evening. DISCUSSION...Southern influence of central Plains short-wave trough is beginning to affect the lower MO Valley region. Height falls will glance northeast KS/northern MO this evening and this should encourage a gradual expansion of convection along/ahead of surface front. Additionally, LLJ is forecast to strengthen into northern MO in response to the approaching short wave. This is expected to aid a potential MCS that will sag southeast across a reservoir of strong buoyancy (3000 J/kg MLCAPE). Primary risk remains damaging winds. ..Darrow.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38509576 39829378 40179163 39689145 39149393 38139533 38509576