Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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749
FNUS74 KLZK 041439
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Red Blue Bluff WF...NPS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
939 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 CDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Thanks for the feeback, still working out some of the bugs with
our new spot request form.

Dry conditions are likely through the rest of this morning with
scattered showers and thunderstorms possible later this afternoon
and evening. Rain chances will continue overnight before clearing
out Friday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....88 at forecast start...Min 70.
Max humidity........66 percent at forecast start...Max 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the northwest 6
                    to 12 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Stability class.....6.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Dispersion..........4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at forecast start...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.39 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.39 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 1958 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.

TIME (CDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Temp............88     81     76     73     72
RH..............66     82     94     100    100
20 ft wind......S 2    NW 2   SW 2   W 2    NW 2
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      5      6
Transp wind dir.SW     NW     W      W      NW
Transp wind spd.12     12     9      7      6
Chc of pcpn (%).40     60     50     30     20

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 90.
Min humidity........Min 39 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Dispersion..........24 increasing to 50 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7071 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Temp............71     73     80     84     87     89
RH..............100    93     67     53     43     39
20 ft wind......NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 3    N 5    NW 5
20 ft wind gust.6      7      10     10     11     11
Transp wind dir.NW     N      N      NW     NW     NW
Transp wind spd.9      13     16     18     20     17
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 62.
Max humidity........Max 93 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph after 3 am.
Stability class.....6.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........36 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4124 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............86     81     74     70     67     64
RH..............45     53     66     76     84     90
20 ft wind......NW 3   NW 2   NW 1   NW 1   W 1    W 1
20 ft wind gust.10     6      4      2      2      2
Transp wind dir.N      N      NW     NW     NW     W
Transp wind spd.14     10     9      8      7      6
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 92.
Min humidity........Min 36 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 14 mph shifting to the north
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........11 increasing to 42.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 10400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 10997 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............64     68     81     86     90     92
RH..............90     81     58     48     39     36
20 ft wind......W 1    NW 1   N 2    N 2    N 2    NE 2
20 ft wind gust.2      2      4      6      6      7
Transp wind dir.W      W      NW     NW     NW     NW
Transp wind spd.6      6      8      13     14     12
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
Forecaster...J Condry
Requested by...Wimberly
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417356.4/LZK
.DELDT 07/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL fenn_wimberly@nps.gov