611
FXUS61 KILN 061734
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
134 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build across the area offering dry weather
through the weekend into early next week. The next threat for
showers and thunderstorms will occur Tuesday as moisture
increases on the backside of retreating high pressure.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Extensive cumulus field will persist through the afternoon.
Forecast temperatures still look reasonable.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Surface high pressure build over the area tonight. This will
keep conditions dry under a mostly clear sky. Low temperatures
to range from the upper 50s to the lower/middle 60s.

Surface high pressure centered over the area Sunday morning will
begin to shift off to the east Sunday. Dry conditions will
continue with the beginning of a warming trend. High
temperatures to range from the mid 80s to the upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Surface high pressure shifts east of the Ohio Vally Sunday night
into Monday. Southerly flow develops west of the high which will
allow for heat and humidity to return to the region. Monday may end
up being the hottest day of the week with forecast highs in the
lower 90s.

Temperatures take a step back on Tuesday and Wednesday when an upper
level shortwave and weak surface front moves through. Showers and
thunderstorms will be possible especially in the afternoons when
diurnal instability peaks. Winds shift to the west and then the
north at some point on Tuesday night behind the boundary.

Winds likely remain out of the north or northeast through the end of
the work week. Rain chances dropoff since the remnants of Hurricane
Beryl are expected remain south of the Ohio Valley. Despite
northerly or easterly winds, forecast highs are still expected to
reach well into the 80s Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Scattered to broken cumulus will diminish towards 00Z and
completely dissipate overnight. West northwest winds will become
light and remain that way through the rest of the period. Under
clear skies and light wind, expect some visibility restrictions
to develop and KLUK and probably KILN and KLCK as well. Expect
visibility to become unrestricted by 13Z and a few cumulus might
start to develop at the very end of the period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities possible Tuesday into
Wednesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...Campbell
AVIATION...