Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
905 FNUS52 KILM 031857 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... Heat and humidity will increase tomorrow as high pressure settles offshore. By Friday and Saturday, heat indices look to push above 105 degrees again. Scattered afternoon showers and storms return this weekend. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-041100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None None LAL 1 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 69 93 72 95 Max/Min RH (%) 96 50 91 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 7 G17 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0900 2100 78/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48600 74100 ADI Early 52 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 40 Fair 45 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 62 Good Max LVORI Early 4 7 4 5 Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-041100- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20 Precip Type None None None Tstms LAL 1 1 1 3 Min/Max Temp 70 96 73 98 Max/Min RH (%) 98 43 92 46 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0900 2100 78/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 6900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54400 82800 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 62 Good 52 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 68 Good 6 Very Poor 89 Good Max LVORI Early 4 8 4 6 Max LVORI Late 7 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-041100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 10 Precip Type None None None Tstms LAL 1 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 70 94 73 96 Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 94 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 6 G17 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0900 2100 82/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6800 Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54900 68000 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 36 Fair 41 Gen Good 45 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 6 Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30 Precip Type None None None Tstms LAL 1 1 1 3 Min/Max Temp 70 97 72 98 Max/Min RH (%) 100 42 92 44 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0900 2100 79/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 7600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 91200 ADI Early 59 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 68 Good 59 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 74 Good 6 Very Poor 93 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 6 Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...21