Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
792 FNUS52 KILM 190726 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 326 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024 .DISCUSSION... Shower and thunderstorm coverage will start to increase ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will linger in the area through the weekend and into the start of next week. Rain chances will remain elevated into the middle of next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-192330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 326 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 88 72 91 Min/Max RH (%) 70 98 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.27 0.50 0.33 Precip Duration 2 5 8 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 2000 79/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 60800 ADI Early 32 Fair 42 Gen Good 47 Gen Good ADI Late 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 6 7 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability B E C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-192330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 326 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 60 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 88 72 91 Min/Max RH (%) 70 100 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.13 0.23 0.10 Precip Duration 2 4 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) None 2000 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4300 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 68800 ADI Early 21 Fair 43 Gen Good 56 Gen Good ADI Late 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 85 Good Max LVORI Early 9 8 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-192330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 326 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 89 72 92 Min/Max RH (%) 67 100 65 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.28 0.37 0.16 Precip Duration 2 5 8 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) None 2000 79/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4200 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 63000 ADI Early 30 Fair 51 Gen Good 51 Gen Good ADI Late 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good Max LVORI Early 7 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 8 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-192330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 326 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 70 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 90 71 91 Min/Max RH (%) 66 100 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.15 0.40 0.06 Precip Duration 2 5 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 2000 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 73600 ADI Early 23 Fair 50 Gen Good 54 Gen Good ADI Late 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 90 Good Max LVORI Early 9 8 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$