Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
107 FNUS52 KILM 200729 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 329 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .DISCUSSION... A front will linger in the area through the weekend and into the start of next week bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. Rain chances will remain elevated into the middle of next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-202330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 329 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 40 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 Max/Min Temp 90 72 90 Min/Max RH (%) 67 97 72 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.13 0.07 0.34 Precip Duration 2 2 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 79/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68400 49400 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 34 Fair ADI Late 64 Good 8 Poor 54 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 5 6 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-202330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 329 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 50 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 90 72 90 Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 71 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.07 0.24 0.16 Precip Duration 2 3 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4100 Transport Wind (mph) W 17 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66300 53300 ADI Early 44 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 35 Fair ADI Late 75 Good 6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-202330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 329 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 60 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 91 72 91 Min/Max RH (%) 64 99 69 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.09 0.18 0.16 Precip Duration 2 3 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4000 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 48000 ADI Early 38 Fair 46 Gen Good 29 Fair ADI Late 54 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-202330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 329 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 60 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 Max/Min Temp 90 71 90 Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.05 0.24 0.18 Precip Duration 2 3 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 77/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4100 Transport Wind (mph) W 15 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 53300 ADI Early 40 Fair 43 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 73 Good 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 7 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$