577
FXUS64 KHUN 071744
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1244 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Any isolated showers or thunderstorms that manage to develop in
our far southern forecast area will dissipate after loss of
heating this evening. A ridge of surface high pressure from the
eastern Great Lakes through the mid South will further weaken
tonight as well. The cloud cover and a slight increase in dew
points will keep low temperatures in the lower to middle 70s by
Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

The upper level trough in the northern Plains will shift east into
the Great Lakes over the next couple of days, allowing TC Beryl to
lift northward through east TX Monday and into the Ozarks by
Tuesday. Southerly flow will push very moist low levels northward
back into the TN Valley. Given an uncapped atmosphere, this may
result in isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms Monday
afternoon and early evening. This chance will be a bit higher on
Tuesday as the 8h and 5h ridge axes shift a bit further east. The
question mark is the strength and influence of the dry slot that
flows northeast as Beryl lifts north into MO. This may effectively
shut off shower and thunderstorm chances abruptly, so confidence
in PoP is very low, especially Tuesday night into Wednesday. The
good news if we do not receive much beneficial rain is a break
from highs in the 90s potentially, at least on Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 208 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

The long term period will continue to bring high temperatures in
the 90s. However, heat indices are forecast to remain below heat
product threshold. A warming trend is in store, however, as
temperatures climb into the upper 90s by Saturday. We continue to
encourage everyone to stay hydrated, avoid leaving pets or
children in unattended vehicles, and avoid being outdoors during
the hottest part of the day. Rain chances during this time remain
low due to lack of synoptic forcing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

VFR flight weather conditions are expected to prevail. However,
isolated SHRA or TSRA are possible southeast of a K4A6-KDCU line
through the period. Thus, none are included in the KHSV and KMSL
TAFs at this time.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...17
SHORT TERM....17
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...17