Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
516 FNUS53 KGRR 031928 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 328 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...Dry Independence Day then thunderstorms Friday... .DISCUSSION...After a seasonably warm Independence Day, Friday will feature showers and thunderstorms. After a break in precipitation Saturday, unsettled conditions will return Sunday and last well into the coming work week. MIZ037>039-043>045-040815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 328 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-140 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max temperature.....81-86. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......12 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 17 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 5200-5700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....550-700 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent overnight. Min temperature.....60-65. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east overnight. Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........68-73 percent. 24 hr trend......37 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 9 mph shifting to the southwest around 10 mph and gusty in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3400-3900 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....410-670 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.90 in. $$ MIZ040-046-040815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 328 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....70-220 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....Around 86. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....620-850 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 5 AM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight. Min temperature.....60-65. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east overnight. Smoke dispersal.....70-80 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 24 hr trend......33 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the south around 10 mph and gusty in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL increasing to 3700-4200 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....350-700 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.40-0.75 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-040815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 328 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....Around 66. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-100 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....82-87. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........46-51 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 5200-5700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....340-390 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers likely after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 66. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the southeast overnight. Smoke dispersal.....40-60 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.22 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers likely until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2000-2500 ft AGL. Mixing height.......Inland, 2300-2800 ft AGL increasing to 4500-5000 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1080 (excellent) in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.64 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-040815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 328 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....Around 65. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-240 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max temperature.....Around 86. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........35-40 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....550-760 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight. Min temperature.....Around 65. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the southeast overnight. Smoke dispersal.....40-110 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest around 13 mph with higher gusts in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....510-830 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.70 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-040815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 328 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....Around 65. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....Around 87. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-46 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....410-500 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 67. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....79-84. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....610-1020 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.43 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming light. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. $$