Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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099
FNUS53 KGRR 030821
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

...Cloudy Morning With Scattered Showers Then Clearing...

.DISCUSSION...
A few passing showers this morning will trend toward only
affecting areas south and east of Grand Rapids, to around
Jackson, by mid day. An isolated brief thunderstorm
cannot be completely ruled out. Skies will become sunnier
from northwest to southeast during the afternoon.


MIZ037>039-043>045-032045-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent near Lake Michigan and 54-59
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-910 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....640-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-032045-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 AM. Chance of showers
                    until 12 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-290 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-032045-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers until
                    12 PM. Chance of thunderstorms until 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-470 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-032045-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 AM. Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL increasing to 4700-5200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-980 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-860 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-032045-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 3 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 4 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....660-680 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows
in the mid 60s. North winds up to 5 mph shifting to the east 5 to
6 mph overnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs around 80.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.

$$