434
FNUS75 KGJT 040540
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Gibson gulch fire...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1140 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will build to the west for the next
several days resulting in continued dry northwest flow overhead.
Only passing clouds are expected with warming temperatures.
Occasionally breezy conditions tomorrow afternoon will leave to
localized near critical fire weather conditions before winds
diminish tomorrow night.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 mph shifting to the east at
                    3 to 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL decreasing to 680 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    overnight.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph through mid morning, then
                    shifting to the southwest. Becoming west 10 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts 20 to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor through late morning, then good. Increasing
                    to very good around midday before becoming
                    excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph through early morning,
                    then shifting to the northwest. Becoming west
                    15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
Max humidity........68-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph through 2200, then
                    shifting to the east at 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent, then very good. Decreasing to poor
                    overnight.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL decreasing to 680 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming east 5 to 10 mph
                    overnight.

$$
Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse
Requested by...Marteen Herrera
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417376.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mdherrera@blm.gov