858
FNUS75 KGJT 151737
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Babylon...Manti La Sal NF
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1137 AM MDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 MDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moisture will continue to push in from the west and
southwest through the day today underneath an area of high
pressure, resulting in the development of scattered showers and
thunderstorms over the higher terrain. Expect lightning and gusty
outflow winds of 40 to 50 mph possible near any storms. This same
pattern looks to continue as moisture is recycled each day this
week although a bit of a downturn is expected Wednesday and
Thursday before increasing late in the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph shifting to the west 8 to
                    12 mph with gusts to 18 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2 until 1400, then 3.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 12300 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
Max humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph in the early evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Winds becoming
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph after sunset.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................3 until 2000, then 2 until 2200, then 1.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North 11 mph.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 mph shifting to the northwest
                    8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 11600 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Jodi Wetzstein
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417886.7/GJT
.DELDT 07/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jodi_wetzstein@firenet.gov