349
FXUS64 KFWD 300558
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1258 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Monday/

Mid-level high pressure remains in control across the region
leading to yet another day of above normal temperatures. A Heat
Advisory will remain in effect given much of the region is
expected to experience heat index values of at least 105 degrees
for a few hours this afternoon.

There will be a weak front that will inch southward early this
morning across Oklahoma. Although this front is not expected to
reach North Texas, a few remnant outflow boundaries may move
southward, firing off a few showers or storms this afternoon.
Those along the immediate Red River will have the best rain
chances, generally around 20%.

Tonight, expect warm temperatures once again, with the DFW
Metroplex remaining in the 80s while the rest of the area dips
into the mid to upper 70s.

The heat intensifies slightly as we start a new work week
with widespread triple digit temperatures across the region. In
addition, a few locations may reach heat index values of around
110 degrees. At this time, the 110 degrees heat index looks to be
more isolated in nature. If future guidance shows more widespread
heat index values of 110+, the excessive heat warnings may make a
comeback. Given the heat and plenty of moisture in place, a few
pop-up storms will be possible across East Texas. Coverage should
remain minimal with most locations expected to remain dry.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 303 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/
Update:

No significant changes were needed with this afternoon`s update.
Hot temperatures will continue through the next week, with
slightly less intense heat indices than the recent few days. Low
storm chances (20%) are advertised for East TX Monday afternoon,
with the greatest coverage remaining outside of the forecast area.
A weak front nearing the region and additional low rain chances
may bring a brief reprieve from the heat to the area on Days 7-8.

Gordon

Previous Discussion:
/Sunday Night Through Next Week/

Widespread triple digit temperatures will continue throughout the
week, with the hottest temperatures expected on Tuesday. Heat
index values will be between 103-110 degrees each day, but >110
degrees should be less common than we experienced this week. Heat
headlines will continue throughout the week for most (if not all)
areas. There are some early indications that the ridge responsible
for our hot and quiet weather will weaken and shift further west
late next week. As a result, rain chances will return late in the
week and potentially continue into next weekend. While most of
the rain would occur Friday onward, it`s worth monitoring the
forecast if you have any outdoor plans for the July 4th holiday,
as timing is certainly subject to change over the next several
days.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06Z TAFs/

South winds and VFR skies are in place at this time. High clouds
are working their way south across Oklahoma, however, no impacts
are expected to any of our TAF sites. As we approach sunrise, a
surge of MVFR stratus will move northward into Central Texas,
likely impacting KACT for a few hours. Any low clouds should
gradually disperse by late in the morning leaving behind VFR for
the rest of the forecast period.

Hernandez

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    82 100  82 102  83 /   5   5   0   0   0
Waco                78  99  79 101  80 /   0   5   0   0   0
Paris               76  94  76  98  79 /  10  10   0   0   0
Denton              79 101  79 103  80 /   5   5   0   0   0
McKinney            79  99  79 101  80 /   5   5   0   0   0
Dallas              82 101  81 102  83 /   5   5   0   0   0
Terrell             78  98  78 100  80 /   5  10   0   0   0
Corsicana           79 100  80 102  80 /   5  10   0   0   0
Temple              77  99  77 102  78 /   5   5   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       77 101  78 103  80 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

$$