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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
636 FNUS75 KFGZ 132157 FWSFGZ Spot Forecast for Duck Lake Fire...USFS National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 257 PM MST Sat Jul 13 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 MST on July 14. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ .DISCUSSION...Monsoon moisture will remain in place with showers and thunderstorms likely each afternoon. Winds will remain generally light except for the usual gusty and erratic winds near any storms. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly Clear. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 50. Max humidity........66 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph until 3:00 AM shifting to north at 5 mph. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Min Vent Rate.......Poor. Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 0 knots. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........20 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph until Noon shifting to the south at 5 to 10 in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. LAL.................5. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Very good. Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12000 ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to 200 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the southeast early in the afternoon, then shifting to the southwest late in the afternoon. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 51. Max humidity........80 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds until 8:00 PM becoming north around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. LAL.................4. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Min Vent Rate.......Poor. Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. LAL.................4. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Good. Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12200 ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to 1900 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the northwest late in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...MCCOLLUM Requested by...Travis Thompson Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2417967.0/FGZ .DELDT 07/13/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL naomi.corkish@usda.gov,joseph.hoppe@usda.gov,andrew.zimmerman2@usda.gov,travis.thompson@usda.gov,thomas.lopez@usda.gov