913
FXUS63 KFGF 152022
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
322 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild temperatures this week, with drier conditions mid-week.


- More active pattern returns into the weekend, with a return to
  near normal temperatures.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 322 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...Synopsis...

Northerly upper level flow pattern in place tonight into Tuesday
with a secondary boundary dropping through the region tonight,
and then and continued push of cooler air into the region
Tuesday. High pressure to build in to the region through the
week before return flow sets up Friday sending warmer air back
into the Northern Plains for the weekend. A few showers and
isolated storms will be possible late tonight into Tuesday with
the passage of the secondary front and the weak upper level wave
dropping southward through the northerly flow pattern. Little
instability in place, so any severe weather is unlikely.


...Cooler air will push into the region tonight and remain in
place through the week keeping temperatures mild and slightly
below average. High pressure building across the region
Wednesday into Thursday will allow for dry conditions for mid-
week.

...Southerly flow sets back up across the area into Friday and
the weekend with warm air advection in advance of a shortwave
trough expected to move through the western US upper ridge and
through the Northern Plains Friday. This will bring a return of
storm chances to the area and warming temperatures into the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

MVFR to VFR CU field with across the area, expect it to lift
quickly to all VFR this afternoon and dissipate into the
evening. Could have some high clouds move in with northerly flow
aloft into Tuesday. Otherwise some gustier northerly winds
today, diminishing overnight. VFR conditions into Tuesday.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJB
AVIATION...MJB