Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
807 FNUS74 KEPZ 061504 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Lolo Fira...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 904 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 MDT on July 06. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Some low level moisture has returned to the areas south of the burn but is not expected to push far enough north to bring any storm chances. Storms look to remain south and east of the burn area. Upper high to the west will bring in slightly drier air for Sunday along with the hottest temperatures of the week with Monday a close second. RH`s will be around 10 percent today but fall closer to 8% for Sun/Mon with this warmer air moving in. Better rain chances return starting Tuesday and continuing through the end of the week. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 81. Min humidity........9 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds becoming northwest 6 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......12600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 18 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (129300 knot-ft) increasing to excellent (217800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........7 12 22 30 Weather cov.....NONE ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 5 5 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............72 78 80 81 RH..............20 13 9 8 20 ft wind......W 5 NW 6 NW 7 NW 8 20 ft wind gust.12 13 13 16 Mix hgt (ft)....10700 10700 12600 12600 Transport wind..NW 13 NW 13 NW 18 NW 18 Haines index....6 6 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..129 149 218 218 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 57. Max humidity........34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest winds 5 to 11 mph. Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 16 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (201800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (800 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........20 8 8 6 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............80 68 63 58 RH..............9 15 19 23 20 FT wind......NW 8G16 NW 6G14 W 5G9 W 5G9 Mix hgt (ft)....11200 11200 100 100 Transport wind..NW 16 NW 16 NW 12 W 9 Haines index....6 6 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..202 202 1 1 Ventrate Cat....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........6 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 17 mph increasing to around 21 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12500 knot-ft) increasing to excellent (174900 knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........5 5 5 6 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............57 68 82 84 RH..............34 22 10 8 20 FT wind......W 5G9 W 6G14 NW 10G22 NW 12G25 Mix hgt (ft)....1400 1400 10200 12800 Transport wind..W 10 W 10 NW 17 NW 21 Haines index....5 6 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 13 175 231 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR EXNT EXNT $$ Forecaster...GRZYWACZ Requested by...USFS Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2417492.2/EPZ .DELDT 07/06/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov