Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
861 FNUS54 KEPZ 031854 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... Low fire weather concerns for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Min RH values will be 10-15% for the lowlands and 20-25% for higher elevations. Winds will be between 5-10 mph and variable. High temperatures will be in the upper 90s and low 100s in the lowlands. There will be sufficent moisture available for showers and thunderstorms to form, especially in the higher elevations. Ventilation rates will be fair to good today and very good to excellent over the weekend. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-041230- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....57-61. * Below 7500 ft....62-67. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent. * Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent. * 24 hr trend......23 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2100, then 1. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (30-40 percent). * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....81-86. * Below 7500 ft....90-95. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....11-15 percent. * Below 7500 ft....11-15 percent. * 24 hr trend......17 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....North around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (139800 knot-ft). .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-60. * Below 7500 ft....62-67. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent. * Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....80-85. * Below 7500 ft....89-94. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....12-17 percent. * Below 7500 ft....14-19 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (137800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 89 to 94. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. North winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-041230- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....68-72. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........62-67 percent. * 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....95-100. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........14-18 percent. * 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (122500 knot-ft). .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the night. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....68-72. * Max humidity........48-53 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....95-99. * Min humidity........17-21 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (140600 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 97 to 101. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 100. North winds around 10 mph. $$ NMZ112-041230- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....70-75. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........56-61 percent. * 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....96-101. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........13-18 percent. * 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 14500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....North around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (121500 knot-ft). .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....68-73. * Max humidity........50-55 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....92-97. * Min humidity........23-28 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (97300 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ113-041230- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-61. * Below 7500 ft....63-68. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....67-72 percent. * Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent. * 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2100, then 1. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....79-84. * Below 7500 ft....89-94. * 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent. * Below 7500 ft....13-18 percent. * 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL increasing to 15000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (125000 knot-ft). .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the night. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....53-58. * Below 7500 ft....59-64. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....81-86 percent. * Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....71-76. * Below 7500 ft....79-84. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent. * Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (66200 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 81 to 86. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. East winds around 10 mph. $$ TXZ055-041230- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....76-78. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........56-60 percent. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........3. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Slight chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....98-102. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........18-22 percent. * 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (101700 knot-ft). .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....74-78. * Max humidity........53-58 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....94-98. * Min humidity........26-30 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (120400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to 103. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 96 to 100. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TXZ056-041230- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 1254 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min temperature.....71-75. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........62-67 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....94-99. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Min humidity........23-27 percent. * 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (93400 knot-ft). .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....70-74. * Max humidity........66-71 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........5. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....89-94. * Min humidity........30-35 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (127800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$